Posts tagged with "Quinnipiac University poll"

After Ted Cruz declines CNN town hall in Texas, rival Beto O’Rourke gets full hour

October 12, 2018

Senator Ted Cruz (R-Texas) has declined to participate in a CNN town hall-style meeting on October 18 with his opponent in the midterm elections—leaving the entire one-hour broadcast to his challenger, Representative Beto O’Rourke (D-16th District), the Huffington Post reported on October 10.

The Texas Senate race remains tightly contested, according to results of a Quinnipiac University poll released on October 11, with Cruz leading by 9 percentage points.

Texas last elected a Democrat to the U.S. Senate when Lloyd Bentsen won his fourth term in 1988.

Originally, O’Rourke had proposed six debates between the two candidates, who are vying for the Senate seat that Cruz has held since 2012. However, he then backed off—complaining that Cruz was trying to control too much of the debate structure.

Now, Cruz has refused the town hall platform, although his campaign manager, Jeff Roe, tried to clarify the move on Twitter on October 9, saying “To be clear, the Cruz campaign proposed that @CNN host one of the Cruz-O’Rourke debates. The O’Rourke campaign declined. @CNN subsequently offered back to back town halls, in which we are unable to participate.”

The incumbent has three new campaign events listed on his website—one on October 12 in Houston at the Firehouse Saloon; one on October 13 in Montgomery at Ransom’s Steakhouse; and another later that same day in El Paso at Franklin High School. At this time, he has no events listed for October 18.

Among the comments in response to Roe’s explanation, was one from @jneutron1969, who noted on Twitter, “Why won’t Cruz do a town hall though? I understand that it plays against his strength of traditional debating, but he should still be able to handle the wild-eyed leftist/commie [O’Rourke] in a town hall format shouldn’t he? Sometimes I get the feeling Cruz isn’t very brave. Like Piglet.”

To that, Roe replied, “If @TedCruz had skipped an opportunity to debate before millions of Texans so he could cut a TV ad on Facebook while 6,000 people watched live [on CNN] the media would rightly be lighting their hair on fire. #CricketsforBeto #TXSen.”

Meanwhile, in a write-up of its televised political events, CNN announced: “CNN Chief Political Correspondent Dana Bash will moderate a live, one-hour town hall with Democratic Representative Beto O’Rourke, who is running for U.S. Senate, on Thursday, October 18, at 7 p.m. ET/6 p.m. CT at the McAllen Performing Arts Center near the US-Mexico border.

“GOP Senator Ted Cruz’s campaign initially accepted CNN’s invitation to participate but later declined, a network official said,” CNN said.

Meanwhile, another Twitter reader, @oldmanebro, commented, “Debates can be hustled, Town Hall meetings don’t allow for prepared, prepackaged BS.”

Research contact: carla.baranauckas@huffpost.com

Giuliani: ‘Collusion is not a crime’

July 31, 2018

Rudy Giuliani, attorney and spokesperson for President Donald Trump, said in a pair of July 30 interviews that he was at a loss for how colluding with the Russians would be categorized as a crime, Business Insider reported.

The comment—all but an admission that the POTUS had, indeed, colluded with a hostile foreign power—came shortly after Trump’s former personal lawyer and “fixer” Michael Cohen claimed to CNN on July 26 that he was with his then-boss and several other Trump Organization executives in 2016 when Donald Trump, Jr., told his father he could “get dirt” on Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton from the Russians.

Instead of denying that there was any collusion, as Trump has been doing since he took office, Giuliani shifted the conversation by noting that the president did not “pay them for hacking,” which he said was the real offense.

Speaking with the hosts of the Fox and Friends morning show, Giuliani said he has “been sitting here looking in the federal code trying to find collusion as a crime.

“Collusion is not a crime,” he said, adding that the president is “absolutely innocent.”

Then in a discussion with CNN’s New Day, Giuliani said if you “start analyzing the crime, the hacking is the crime.”

“The president didn’t hack,” Giuliani said. “He didn’t pay them for hacking. If you got the hacked information from the Russians here at CNN and you played it, would you be in jeopardy of going to jail? Of course not.”

Giuliani’s comments came a day after Trump took to Twitter to again attack Special Counsel Robert Mueller, who is tasked with investigating Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election. Trump tweeted that there was “No Collusion!” and added that Mueller’s “rigged witch hunt” was “an illegal Scam!”

During his Monday interviews, Giuliani questioned Cohen’s credibility and said the president “did not participate” in the meeting with the Russians, Business Insider said..

Giuliani told CNN he was “happy to tell” Mueller that Trump “wasn’t at the meeting.” Giuliani added that other individuals who could corroborate Cohen’s account would not do so—charging that Cohen is making these claims now because he feels the criminal investigation closing in on him.

Based on the findings of a July 24 Quinnipiac University poll, American voters believe 51% versus 35% “that the Russian government has compromising information about President Trump.” A total of 68% of American voters are “very concerned” or “somewhat concerned” about President Trump’s relationship with Russia, while 32% are “not so concerned” or “not concerned at all.”

Research contact: brown@quinnipiac.edu

Ornstein: Nunes should be expelled from House

July 25, 2018

Norman Ornstein, a resident scholar at the conservative public policy think tank American Enterprise Institute, has called for U.S. Representative Devin Nunes (R-California) to be expelled from the House of Representatives, saying that the Intelligence Committee chairman—who was supposed to recuse himself from the Russia investigation due to his involvement as an Executive Committee member on the Trump transition team—has “brought dishonor” to the chamber.

Appearing on MSNBC on July 23, The Hill reports, Ornstein said Nunes’s repeated attacks on the U.S. intelligence community and his willingness to coordinate with the White House “against the interests of Congress” demonstrated that the California Republican had provided “aid and comfort to our enemies.”

“I think what we’ve seen with Nunes going back to way before the attacks on the FISA report, on the intelligence community; undermining key security of the United States; to when he was working with the White House against the interests of Congress, shutting out the minority as the chairman of the intelligence community—this is giving aid and comfort to our enemies,” Ornstein said.

“He has, I think, brought dishonor upon the House and endangered the country,” Ornstein added. “And I don’t say it lightly.”

Ornstein’s comments on MSNBC came days after the Justice Department released redacted documents related to surveillance warrants on Carter Page, a former Trump campaign adviser with links to Russia.

Nunes previously had pushed the release of a memo authored by Republicans on the House Intelligence Committee that alleged missteps and abuses by FBI officials in obtaining the Page warrants, The Hill said.

Nunes is among President Trump‘s most ardent congressional allies in the investigation into Russian meddling in the 2016 election. The intel chairman has repeatedly raised concerns about potential surveillance abuses against members of Trump’s campaign.

According to findings of a July 24 Quinnipiac University Poll, american votes believe (51%-35%)”that the Russian government has compromising information about President Donald Trump. Only Republicans do not believe that Russia has compromising information on the POTUS (70%-18%). Similarly, 54% of U.S,. voters think that the Helsinki summit between President Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin was a failure for the United States (52%-27%), but not the Republicans (73%-8%).

Research contact: peter.brown@quinnipiac.edu

Parents at border still to be faced with heartless choice

June 26, 2018

The Trump administration is developing a plan that would confront parents who cross the border illegally with a sort of “Sophie’s Choice,” according to a June 25 report by the Miami Herald: Either allow themselves to be detained with their child in a large tent city—or give up custody of their child, at least temporarily—according to two sources who have discussed the plans with White House officials.

The choice is being considered as part of a hastily crafted solution to the problem of complying with President Donald Trump’s executive order last week, which terminated the widely condemned policy of separating parents and children arrested at the border. However, it still uses children as pawns in the zero-tolerance immigration push.

Current law, the news outlet points out, prohibits the federal government from keeping children detained, even with their parents, in immigration detention for more than 20 days.

But, if a parent does not wish the child to be released from custody and taken away from him or her, the so-called Flores court settlement notes the parent can keep the child with them in custody.

More than 2,000 Latin American children have been placed in shelters or foster homes since the Trump administration’s “zero-tolerance” plan went into effect. Since the executive order was signed last week, about 500 children have been returned to their parents.Top of Form

“They want to take the power of the mother away to be able to say, ‘I want my kid released’,” Peter Schey, the lawyer who represented the mothers in the Flores case, told the Herald. “They want to take that away. Say ‘no, forget that, the kid has to be detained with you until the very end.’ ”

Schey described Trump’s proposal as “Hobson’s choice“—which means no choice at all—but said the Department of Homeland Security can already detain parents and children together if the parent does not want their child to be released. He said parents need to understand and be informed that they do have choices.

“Neither the language nor the intention of anything in the Flores agreement precludes a parent from retaining decision-making power over their children,” Schey said. “We never thought to usurp that decision-making authority which we highly respect.”

According to the findings of a Quinnipiac University poll released on June 18, American voters oppose 66% vs. 27% percent the policy of separating children and parents when families illegally cross the border.

Research contact: @francoordonez

Kamala Harris co-sponsors Booker bill to legalize marijuana

May 14, 2018

Senator Kamala Harris (D-California) is joining another rising star in her party, Senator Cory Booker (D-New Jersey), to co-sponsor the Marijuana Justice Act, The Hill reported on May 10.

The federal legislation—introduced by Booker on August 1—would eliminate marijuana’s status as a Schedule 1 drug under the Controlled Substance Act. In addition, the bill would mandate that federal courts  expunge the records of Americans who have prior marijuana convictions related to use or possession.

“It’s the right thing to do. And I know this as a former prosecutor. I know it as a senator,” Harris said in a video announcing her decision. “I just look at what we want as a country and where we need to be instead of where we’ve been.

“African-Americans use marijuana at roughly the same rate as whites, but are approximately four times more likely to be arrested for possession,” Harris said in the same Now This  exclusive posting. “The fact is, marijuana laws are not applied and enforced the same way for all people.”

Harris believes the move to decriminalize marijuana will prevent the Justice Department from enforcing laws that are “unjust and unfair.”

“The war on drugs was a war on communities,” Harris said, adding that police should be dealing with more serious drugs and crimes. “Not somebody smoking a joint.”

Harris follows New York Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D, who announced on February 14 that she would co-sponsor the act with Booker. Senator Bernie Sanders (I-Vermont) backs the bill as well.

According to the report by The Hill, so far, nine states and Washington, D.C. have legalized the drug for recreational use for adults over the age of 21. Michigan will hold a vote to legalize recreational pot this year, potentially making it the tenth state and first in the Midwest to legalize pot.

Based on findings of an April 26 poll by Quinnipiac University, American voters support percent legalizing marijuana  nationwide by a margin of  63% to 33% . Support for use of medical marijuana is 93% from coast to coast.

Fully 70% of U.S. registered voters also oppose enforcement of federal laws against marijuana in states that have legalized medical or recreational marijuana.

Research contact: peter.brown@quinnipiac.edu

Kelly denies calling Trump an ‘idiot’

May 2, 2018

Last May, when the Quinnipiac University Poll asked U.S. adults for “the first word that comes to mind when you think of Donald Trump,” 39% of respondents said, “idiot.” Now, White House Chief of Staff John Kelly is in hot water, based on reports that he said the same thing.

Indeed, leaks from four administration sources—posted on May 1 by NBC News—imply that Kelly portrays himself as the lone bulwark against catastrophe, “curbing the erratic urges of a president who has a questionable grasp on policy issues and the functions of government.”

Those same White House officials reportedly claim that Kelly has referred to Trump as “an idiot” multiple times to underscore his point.

Kelly called the allegations “total BS,” NBC notes, providing the full statement issued by the chief of staff right after the rumors broke: “I spend more time with the president than anyone else and we have an incredibly candid and strong relationship,” said Kelly in the statement. “He always knows where I stand and he and I both know this story is total BS. I am committed to the president, his agenda, and our country. This is another pathetic attempt to smear people close to President Trump and distract from the administration’s many successes.”

In addition, the network reports, three White House spokespeople said they don’t believe it’s accurate that Kelly called the president an “idiot,” adding that none of them has ever heard him do that or otherwise use that word.

However, Kelly is not the first administration official to draw fire for his comments on the POTUS. Former Secretary of State Rex Tillerson never fully denied having called President Trump “a moron” in front of colleagues.

Tillerson was recently replaced by former CIA Director Mike Pompeo. Now, NBC News reports, some current and former White House officials said they expect Kelly to leave by July, his one-year mark. But others say it’s anyone’s guess.

Research contact: contact.nbcnews@nbcuni.co

In Texas, Cruz and O’Rourke go head-to-head in battle for U.S. Senate seat

April 20, 2018

The closely watched U.S. Senate race in Texas is too close to call, with 47% for Republican incumbent Senator Ted Cruz and 44% for Representative Beto O’Rourke, his Democratic challenger, based on findings of a Quinnipiac University Poll released on April 18.

There are wide party, gender, age and racial gaps in support for the candidates, the pollsters discovered—among them:

  • Democrats support O’Rourke by 87%/9% (for/against);
  • Independents back O’Rourke by 51%/37%;
  • Republicans are going for Cruz 88%/6%;
  • Men back Cruz by 51% and O’Rourke by 40%;
  • Women back O’Rourke by 47% and Cruz by 43%;
  • Voters ages 18 to 34 go Democratic 50%/34%,
  • Voters over age 65 go Republican 50%/43%;
  • White voters back Cruz 59%/34%;
  • Black voters are heavily in favor of O’Rourke, 78%/18%; and
  • Hispanic voters also back O’Rourke, 51%/33%.

Senator Cruz gets lackluster grades for his performance in Congress, including a 47%/45%t job approval rating and a 46%/44% favorability rating. O’Rourke gets a 30%/16% favorability rating—but 53% of Texas voters don’t know enough about him to form an opinion.

Texas voters “like Ted Cruz as a person,” 47%/38%. Voters “like Beto O’Rourke as a person” 40%/13%; with 47% undecided.

“Democrats have had a target on Senator Ted Cruz’s back, and they may be hitting the mark. Once expected to ‘cruise’ to reelection, the incumbent is in a tight race with Democratic Representative Beto O’Rourke,” said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac Poll.

“The key may well be Independent voters. O’Rourke’s … lead among that group is key to his standing today. But Texas remains a strong GOP state so O’Rourke will need the Independent strength to pull the upset.”

Research contact: peter.brown@quinnipiac.edu

Should Trump get credit for the economy?

April 2, 2018

While President Donald Trump has taken credit for everything from the success of the rebooted Roseanne sitcom, to low unemployment, to the decreased level of airplane mishaps in 2017, is there something for which the POTUS really should get kudos?

Voters consistently have given President Trump low marks when it comes to his job performance, but more and more voters believe that Trump, rather than former U.S. President Barack Obama, is responsible for the current state of the economy, according to the latest Quinnipiac University Poll. Fully 46% say Trump should be credited, either for good or for bad; while 42% say Obama laid the foundation.

Whether this is good news or bad news for the president hinges on knowing just how voters rate the state of the economy, and in this case, the data ought to be encouraging for him: 61% of voters say the economy is excellent or good. Although this percentage is down from a high of 70% last month and 66% in January, these numbers are a significant improvement over the 46% of voters who said the same. market researchers at Public Opinion Strategies point out.

Likewise, in the January NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey (for which POS is the Republican partner with Democratic firm, Hart Research Associates), 35% of voters said the economy would improve over the next 12 months, while just 20% said it would decline. Fully 43% said it would stay about the same.

Tellingly, POS states, among the 35% who said it would get better, nearly two-thirds (65%) said Trump’s new economic policies were the reason; just 6% of these voters believe it will improve because of what President Obama set in motion during his time in office; and 29% say it is due to the normal business cycle improving.

Research contact: kyle@pos.org

U.S. voters give thumbs down to steel and aluminum tariffs

March 9, 2018

Half (50%) of American voters oppose tariffs on steel and aluminum, while 31% would support such a trade agenda, according to the results of a Quinnipiac University poll of 1,122  adults nationwide released on March 6.

In addition, the U.S. electorate disagrees, 64% versus 28%, with President Donald Trump’s claim that a trade war would be good for nation and easily won, according to the research findings.

Every listed party, gender, education, age and racial group oppose steel and aluminum tariffs, Quinnipiac reports—except for Republicans, who support tariffs by a lackluster 58% versus 20%; and white voters with no college degree, who are divided, 42% versus 40%.

If the tariffs were to raise the cost of goods that Americans purchase, the opposition would mount, according to poll respondents. Indeed, American voters would oppose such tariffs 59% versus 29 percent, if they had to pay higher prices as a result.

Still,the tariffs will be good for American jobs, 26% say—while 36 % say tariffs will be bad for jobs and 24% say the tariffs will have no substantial  impact on jobs.

Finally, Quinnipiac reports,American voters disapprove 54% versus 34% of the way in which the Trump administration is handling trade. Only Republicans and white voters with no college degree approve.

Research contacttimothy.malloy@quinnipiac.edu

American voters say Moore should be expelled, if elected to Senate

November 24, 2017

Most American voters think that Alabama Senate candidate Roy Moore (R) should be expelled by U.S. legislators if he wins next month, according to findings of a poll released on November 21 in The Hill. .

Sixty percent of 1,416 of U.S. voters who responded to a Quinnipiac University poll released Tuesday said the Senate should vote to remove Moore, should the GOP candidate win the December special election; while 28% said it should not.

Republicans were the only voter group in the survey to say Moore should not be expelled from the Senate, (49% to 33%), while the majority of voters in every other category of political party, gender, and education level said the Senate should remove him from office.

Moore is the target of accusations by seven women, who have come forward in recent weeks to allege that the former judge and prosecutor harassed and assaulted them—including one woman who said he had initiated a sexual encounter with her when she was 14 years old and he was 32.

Moore has denied the allegations and remained in the Alabama Senate race, despite the urging of Republicans in Washington—except President Trump—for him to step aside ahead of the December 12 special election against Democrat Doug Jones.

On the issue of sexual harassment generally, a slight preponderance of GOP voters (43% to 41%) said they still would consider voting for Moore over his Democratic opponent.

Meanwhile, 62% of Americans overall said they would not vote for such a candidate and only 27% would consider it.

The survey was conducted by telephone between November 15 and November 20.

Research contact:  timothy.malloy@quinnipiac.edu