Posts tagged with "Politico/MorningConsult poll"

Poll: Most Americans want Pelosi out as House speaker

December 23, 2020

Although the Democrats’ House majority was nearly wiped out in last month’s election, the party appears poised to retain Representative Nancy Pelosi (D-California) for a fourth, two-year stint as speaker next month. But the question is, do most Americans feel the same way?

A new Politico/Morning Consult poll shows most self-identified Democrats (53%) think she should keep the gavel, but a majority of voters oppose Pelosi staying on as speaker. Only 31% of all voters think Pelosi should be elected as speaker when the new Congress begins, while 56% think she should not.

The election of the speaker is one of the first tasks for the House when it reconvenes on JanNuary 3, but the smaller Democratic majority—Republicans’ net gain in November currently stands at ten seats and could swell to a dozen, depending on the disposition of two still-uncalled races—has threatened Pelosi’s position, says Politico.

When Democrats assumed control of the House two years ago, 15 Democratic members defected from Pelosi—choosing another individual or voting “present” during the speakership vote. Of those, ten are returning members of the Democratic caucus—and Pelosi only will be able to lose a handful of votes if she wants to clinch the speakership this time, depending on how many members show up.

Still, no other Democratic member has stepped up to challenge Pelosi, and her team remains confident she will win a majority of the vote.

In the poll, the vast majority of Republicans (83%) are opposed to Pelosi staying as speaker.. Independents also lean strongly against her: Just 22 % say she should remain speaker, while 59% say she should not.

The numbers track closely with her overall image rating. Fewer than four-in-10 voters (37%) have a favorable opinion of Pelosi, while 52% view her unfavorably. Among Independent voters, 27%view Pelosi favorably, and 58% have an unfavorable opinion of her.

The Poltiico/Morning Consult poll was conducted December 18-20, among 1,995 registered voters.

Research contact: @politico

77% of Democrats are rallying to vote in the November midterms

October 11, 2018

Republicans say the confirmation of Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh will energize their base, driving GOP voters to the polls in next month’s midterm elections—but it’s Democrats who appear more pumped up and motivated by the nomination fight, according to findings of a Politico/Morning Consult poll of 2,189 registered voters conducted after the Senate ballot and released on October 10.

Kavanaugh’s confirmation is not popular, the pollsters say: Indeed, 46% of respondents said that the Senate “made the wrong decision” in approving the controversial judge, while a lesser 40% said it was right.

And following the GOP-led effort to push through his nomination, enthusiasm for change among Democratic voters has surged. Fully 77% of Democrats, Politico reports, say they are “very motivated” to turn out and vote in the midterms—compared to more than the 68% of Republicans who say they’re “very motivated.”

Prior to Kavanaugh’s confirmation, some polls had shown an uptick in GOP interest in this year’s elections. And it’s possible the fight over his nomination may have more positive effects for Republicans in key red states in the battle for control of the Senate — like Indiana, Missouri, Montana and , according to the political news outlet.

But the POLITICO/Morning Consult poll suggests that Republicans’ decision to confirm Kavanaugh lacks broad support and has animated Democrats with only four weeks to go until President Donald Trump’s first midterm election.

“Brett Kavanaugh’s Senate confirmation battle appears to be a significant motivator, as voter enthusiasm for the upcoming midterms has hit its highest point since Morning Consult and POLITICO began tracking the issue,” commented Tyler Sinclair, Morning Consult’s vice president. “In this week’s poll, 70% of voters say they are very motivated to vote — including 77% of Democrats, 68% of Republicans, and 60% of independents. One month ago, 64% said they were very motivated — including 67% of Democrats, 69% of Republicans, and 55% of independents.”

Research contact: @POLITICO_Steve

Warner: Trump Tower meeting with Gulf envoys substantiates ‘larger pattern of concern’

May 22, 2018

Senator Mark Warner of Virginia, the top Democrat on the Senate Intelligence Committee, told CNN on May 20 that Donald Trump Jr.’s alleged meeting at Trump Tower on August 3, 2016, with a Gulf emissary who offered help to his father’s presidential campaign could be “evidence of a larger pattern of concern.”

The meeting—which The New York Times disclosed on May 19—was supposedly arranged by former Blackwater head and Trump financial backer Erik Prince; and attended by the president’s eldest son; as well as George Nadar, an emissary for two princes from Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates; and Israeli social media specialist Joel Zamel.

The Times further reported that Zamel talked about how his company could help a political campaign gain an advantage. According to the Times, the company had by then put together “a multimillion-dollar proposal for a social media manipulation effort to help elect Mr. Trump.”

Donald Trump Jr. has said that he did not react to those offers of help from the Middle East. However, according to the Times report, “Donald Trump Jr. responded approvingly … and … Nader was quickly embraced as a close ally by Trump campaign advisers—meeting frequently with … [the elder Trump’s son-in-law] Jared Kushner … and Michael T. Flynn, who became the president’s first national security adviser.”

The August meeting followed a June 2016 confab with a group of Russians that Trump Jr. at first had characterized as a discussion about adoption—but that has been shown by emails, leaks, and media reports to be an attempt by the presidential campaign staff to get dirt on the Hillary Clinton campaign.

When news of the secret meeting with the Russians emerged a year afterward, a majority of U.S. voters polled by Politico/Morning Consult said that it was inappropriate for Donald Trump Jr. to accept an offer to meet with an attorney linked to the Russian government.”

Specifically, more than half (52%) said the meeting with a Russian government attorney was inappropriate. Only 23% of respondents characterized the meeting with a Russian government attorney as appropriate. The remaining 25% had no opinion.

I think from a practical standpoint, most people would have taken that meeting. It’s called opposition research, or even research into your opponent,” President Trump responded at that time—adding that it is “very standard in politics. Politics is not the nicest business in the world, but it’s very standard where they have information and you take the information.”

As information continues to come out about meetings with foreign intermediaries, Senator Warner said on Sunday, “”If the Times story is true, we now have at least a second and maybe a third nation that was trying to lean into this campaign,”

Warner said on CNN’s State of the Union. “I don’t understand what the president doesn’t get about the law that says if you have a foreign nation interfere in an American election, that’s illegal.”

Research contact: @maeganvaz