Posts tagged with "Marist Poll"

Pushing impeachment could backfire on Democrats in November

April 23, 2018

Fighting to impeach President Donald Trump would backfire on Democrats hoping to take back the House of Representatives in the November midterm elections, based on findings of an NPR/PBS News Hour/Marist Poll released on April 18.

In interviews with 1,011 U.S. adults earlier this month, the researchers discovered that 47% of registered voters would definitely vote against a candidate who wanted to remove Trump from office, while 42% would definitely vote for a candidate who would make such a promise.

Indeed, impeachment is a nonstarter for 84% of GOP voters. As Lee Miringoff, the director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, states, “The threat of impeachment provides Republicans [with] their best point of attack looking toward the midterm elections, and I think we’re going to hear a lot more about it from their arsenal as they try to isolate the Robert Mueller investigation and de-legitimize it. If there’s a silver lining for Republicans in this data, it’s the impeachment question.”

It’s Democrats from more liberal districts who have been making noise about impeaching Trump, while members in more competitive swing districts—which Democrats will need to win to reach the 23 seats required to take back the House—have generally opposed such an idea.

Research contact: @JessicaTaylor

No time like the present?

March 16, 2018

Although being “fully present” and “living in the moment” are gaining popularity among lifestyle gurus, it turns out that many Americans would rather keep moving—toward either the past or future. Nearly three in ten Americans (29%) wish they could travel in time, based on findings of a Marist Poll released on March 14.

And if they cannot possess that particular super power, the 1,033 U.S. adult poll respondents said they would like to:

  • Read people’s minds (20%);
  • Fly (17%);
  • Teleport to other physical spaces (15%), or
  • Become invisible whenever they choose (12%).

Just 5% said they were just fine without a special skill or ability—and 3% said they were unsure.

Looking at the demographics, time travel is the super power of choice for pluralities of white (30%) and Latino (26%) Americans. Similarly, 23% of Latinos would like the ability to teleport.

Among African Americans, the ability to read people’s minds (30%) tops the list, followed by time travel (26%).

Men (36%) also are more likely than women (22%) to select time travel. Among women, nearly one in four (23%) selected mind reading as their power of choice.

Also worth noting: Reading minds is the most mentioned super power among Americans 60 and older (26%). The ability to time travel is number one among those  in the 30 to 44 age group (36%), as well as among those who are 45 to 59 years of age (31%).

Finally, fully 30% of Millennials would like to be able to be able to teleport.

Research contact: @LeeMiringoff

55% of Americans think ICE should prepare for a different type of alien

February 13, 2018

As Congress debates President Trump’s wall this week—and the threat  of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) continues to hang over Dreamers—U.S. voters are wondering about the arrival of a different type of alien: A majority of Americans (55%) think that we are not alone in the universe—and that intelligent beings from other planets will find us before we find them, based on findings of a Marist Poll of 1,033 U.S. adults released on February 12.

In fact, more than two-thirds of respondents (68%) believe that there is intelligent life on other planets, according to the researchers—up from 52% in 2005. And a plurality (46%) believe that the extraterrestrials are probably smarter than we are—while 74% think they are at least as clever as humans.

Interestingly enough, 74% of Americans under the age of 45—including 79% of those under the age of 30 and 72% of Millennial men—are the most likely to think that we will have a “close encounter” with denizens of another world.

Research contact: @LeeMiringoff

60% of Americans worry about safety of Olympic team

February 8, 2018

Sixty percent of Americans are worried about the safety of the U.S. athletes who are competing in the Winter Olympics in Pyeonchang, South Korea, starting tomorrow and going through February 25, based on findings of a Marist Poll released on February 6.

Among the 1,033 adults polled, 21% are “very concerned” about the security of Team USA and 39% are “concerned,” while 25% are “not too concerned” and 14% are “not concerned at all.”

Republicans (69%), as well as Americans age 60 and older (69%), are more likely than others to express apprehension.

“There have been security problems in the past at the Olympics,” said Dr. Lee Miringoff, director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. “People understand this isn’t the calmest place in the world right now.”

Terrorism is feared by many—among them, Americans age 45 or older (60%), those without a college degree (60%), and women (59%) are more likely than younger residents (47%), those with a college degree (45%) and men (48%).

Research contact: TheMaristPoll@marist.edu

President’s counsel averted firing of Mueller last June

January 29, 2018

Although U.S. President Donald Trump stated at a June 9  press conference in the White House Rose Garden that he “would be “100% willing” to testify under oath to Robert Mueller and his team at the Justice Department, that same month, he tried to have the special counsel fired, according to a January 25 report by The New York Times.

Trump is said by the Times story to have gone to White House Counsel Don McGahn with a list of reasons why Mueller’s appointment represented a conflict of interest with the investigation—among them, a dispute over fees at the Trump National Golf Club in Sterling, Virginia; a former relationship with the law firm that now represented the POTUS’s son-in-law, Jared Kushner; and Mueller’s interview for the FBI director position by the White House just the day before he was appointed to helm the DOJ investigation.

With that list in hand, the president demanded that McGahn call Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein and order that Mueller be ousted, based on the Times report. McGahn balked at the idea—threatening to quit if the president pressed him on it. According to the Times, Trump then backed off.

In drawing a line, McGahn is said to have headed off a Constitutional crisis. He also supported the will of the American people: More than two-thirds of Americans (68%) think Mueller should be allowed to finish his investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election and attempts by the White House to obstruct justice —and only 14% think he should be fired, a Marist Poll revealed on January 17

When asked about his actions by reporters as he arrived in Davos, Switzerland, for meetings with global political and business leaders attending the World Economic Forum, the President said, “Fake news, folks. A typical New York Times fake story.”

Research contactLee.Miringoff@Marist.edu

Updated version

48% of Americans: Mueller investigation is unbiased

January 23, 2018

A plurality of Americans (48%) perceive Robert Mueller’s investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election to be fair, according to findings of a Marist Poll released on January 17. By contrast, 28% do not think it is, and 23% are unsure.

Political affiliation contributes heavily to the mix: Nearly three-quarters of  Democrats (72%) consider the probe to be unbiased, while just over one-quarter of Republicans (26%) say the same.

More than two-thirds of Americans (68%) think Mueller should be allowed to finish his investigation. Only 14% think he should be fired, and 18% are unsure. On the issue, bipartisan agreement exists. 76% of Democrats, 71% of Independents, and 59% of Republicans think Mueller should see the investigation to its conclusion.

Surprisingly enough, Marist found, more than four in ten Americans (42%) have little or no knowledge of Robert Mueller, who was director of the FBI from 2001 through 2013.

“Robert Mueller is not well-defined, and that makes views about the fairness of the investigation and whether it should continue tentative,” commented Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion.

Do Americans have faith in the country’s institutions? Overwhelmingly, residents nationally have a great deal or quite a lot of confidence in the military (87%).

However, confidence wanes in relation to other institutions. Majorities of Americans have confidence in the Supreme Court (59%), church or organized religion (58%), the FBI (57%), public schools (53%) and the courts (51%). Fewer put credence in banks (50%), organized labor (49%), the presidency (43%), big business (39%), and the Democratic Party (36%).

Research contact: Lee.Miringoff@Marist.edu

Senator Bernie Sanders defends the ‘Dreamers’

January 10, 2018

Americans (yes, including Republicans!) are overwhelmingly—by an 81% to 15% margin—backing efforts to keep “Dreamers” in the United States, based on results of a Marist poll released last month.

And it’s not just the U.S. electorate: Senator Bernie Sanders (I-Vermont) showed his stripes on television last weekend.

The Dreamers continue to gain backing: The poll finds that citizenship for the Dreamers is the most popular option chosen by respondents in each of the three major parties:

  • Democrats at 92% (74% citizenship, 18% legal status, 5% deportation);
  • Independents at 82% (57% citizenship, 25% legal status, 14% deportation); and
  • Republicans at 67% (40% citizenship, 27% legal status; 29% deportation).

However, President Donald Trump still is refusing to relent on his intention to deport the roughly 800,000 unauthorized immigrants—most of them, Mexican by birth and between the ages of 15 and 30 —who are continuing their education in the United States.

That is, unless he gets the wall he believes will halt illegal entry into America from Latin America.

On December 29, Trump tweeted: “The Democrats have been told, and fully understand, that there can be no DACA [Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals] without the desperately needed WALL at the Southern Border and an END to the horrible Chain Migration & ridiculous Lottery System of Immigration etc. We must protect our Country at all cost!”

During budget negotiations, Trump demanded $18 billion to construct more than 700 miles of barriers along the border with Mexico. In a planning meeting with aides at Camp David last weekend, the POTUS commented, ““The wall is going to happen or we’re not going to have DACA.”

 Senator Bernie Sanders fought back on behalf of the Dreamers. “I am not sure why President Trump wants to shut down the government over a multi-billion dollar wall that no one wants, is not needed and will not be paid for by Mexico. What the American people do want, in overwhelming numbers, is to provide legal protection to 800,000 Dreamers and a path toward citizenship for them.”

In a statement distributed by his office on January 7, Sanders has called on Congress “to immediately fix the crisis the president precipitated when he ended protections for Dreamers in September.”

Sanders told George Stephanopolous on ABC’s This Week, aired on the same date, “We are in a position where some 800,000 young people – young people who were raised in this country, young people who are in school, who are working in the U.S. military, now are living in extraordinary anxiety about whether or not they’re going to lose legal status and be subject to deportation. This is what the president precipitated. We have got to deal with that decision.”

Sanders called on Congress to pass the DREAM Act immediately and eventually to move to comprehensive immigration reform.

Research contact: Josh_Miller-Lewis@sanders.senate.gov

Promises, promises: New Year’s resolutions for 2018

December 22, 2017

Whether you make a New Year’s resolution or not for 2018, you are in good company: Each year, nearly the same number of Americans (41%) make a New Year’s resolution as do not (42%).

And the overall results for each group hardly vary: Just 9% actually succeed in whatever they have pledged to accomplish according to a report by Statistic Brain.

Indeed,the true winners are the gyms and diet plans and quit-smoking programs that all of us join at the beginning of the year, when we are committed to our plans. For example, according to Gold’s Gym, its traffic jumps by 40% between December and January. But just wait a few weeks – it won’t be long before all those good intentions die.

But we cannot resist trying and our goals are worthy: Being a better person and weight loss share the top spot as the most popular New Year’s resolutions for 2018, according to findings released by the Marist Poll on December 20.

.Among Americans who still plan to make a resolution, 12% report they want to be a better person, and the same proportion (12%) say they want to lose weight. Exercising more, eating healthier food, and getting a better job each were cited by 9% of respondents; while 7% want to improve their overall health.

Six percent of U.S. residents resolving to make a change want to kick the smoking habit, and another 6% plan to spend less and save more money. Another 30% came up with a different resolution altogether.

Last year, being a better person (16%) edged out weight loss (10%) and exercising (10%) to take the number-one slot.

Of note, the proportion of resolution makers who plan to look for a better job has nearly doubled from 5% last year to 9% currently.

Predictably enough, age and gender affect the goals people choose. The most cited resolutions among those under the age of 45 are being a better person (13%) and getting a better job (12%).

Among older resolution-makers, weight loss (16%) edges out exercising more (13%), being a better person (12%), improving one’s health (11%) and healthier eating (10%).

While being a better person (17%) is the leading New Year’s resolution among men, weight loss (15%) is the top resolution among women.

“With weight loss tying for the number-one resolution and exercise and healthy eating making the top five, health is top of mind,” commented Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. “And, if the past is any indication, many Americans have a good chance at keeping their promises for at least part of 2018.”

Finally, how long do Americans keep their New Year’s resolutions? Among those who say they made a resolution for 2017, 68% said they kept at least part of their promise. Similar proportions of men (69%) and women (66%) remained true to their word for at least part of 2017. More men (75%) compared with women (62%) said they kept their New Year’s resolution last year.

Research contact: Daniela Charter (@DanielaCharter)

‘Whatever’ continues to be the most annoying word in America

December 20, 2017

For the ninth consecutive year, Americans say that “whatever” is the most annoying word or phrase used in casual conversation, based on results of a Marist poll released on December 18. However, fewer Americans—just 33% as opposed to 38% last year—feel that way now than in polls conducted previously.

Respondents under the age of 45, compared with their older counterparts, do not find the word all that bothersome. And pollsters think they know they reason why: “Since 2015, we have seen a narrowing between ‘whatever’ and the rest of the list,” says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. “It has been more than 20 years since ‘whatever’ first gained infamy in the movie Clueless. While the word irks older Americans, those who are younger might not find ‘whatever’ to be so annoying.”

Twenty-eight percent of the younger respondents cited “no offense, but” as the phrased that provoked them.

Among the other words and phrases that annoyed respondents this year was “fake news”—which took second place overall, with 23%; followed closely by “no offense, but,” which peeved 20%. Add to that the 11% of U.S. adults who think “literally” is the most grating word used in conversation; while 10% assert “you know what I mean” is the most vexing..

Last year, “whatever” led the list; followed by “no offense, but,” which angered 20% of respondents. “Ya know, right” and “I can’t even” each garnered 14%. Eight percent of Americans deemed “huge” to be the most irritating word or phrase spoken in casual conversation.

Opinions differ based on age. A plurality of U.S. residents 45 and older, 40%, believe “whatever” is the most annoying spoken word. In contrast,. A similar 26% of these residents consider “whatever” to be the most grating word or phrase used in casual conversation.

Research contact: Daniela Charter (@DanielaCharter)

58% of Americans think Trump’s policies favor the wealthy

November 17, 2 017

A year after his election, President Donald Trump continues to struggle to make in-roads with Americans beyond his base, according to findings by Marist Poll. Among the key reasons: 58% of Americans consider President Trump’s policies to be directed toward the wealthy; while just 30% believe they are geared toward helping the middle class, and scarcely anyone (3%) thinks that the POTUS’s policies are intended to help the poor.

The poll was conducted November 6 through November 9 among 1,074 adults nationwide.

These perceptions by the U.S. electorate also were voiced earlier in Trump’s term. In fact, Marist reported last March that 57% of Americans thought the president’s policies mostly favored upper-income Americans.

“Although President Trump is out of step with Americans about those who will reap the benefits of his economic policies, his base is satisfied with the direction of his agenda,” says Dr. Lee M. Miringoff, director of The Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. “In the coming year, we will find out whether President Trump reaches out to broaden his base, whether perceptions of his policies change, and whether his base retains their allegiance to him.”

Politically, respondent’s views diverge very predictably: Among Republicans, 69% of respondents said that the president’s agenda aims to help the middle class and just 14% think the goal is to bolster the wealthy. Five percent of the GOP respondents consider Trump’s policies to be directed toward helping the poor.

By contrast, among Democrats, 92% believe that the president’s policies favor the wealthy.

Among Independents, nearly six in ten (59%), agree. An additional 31% of Independents said that the middle class benefit from the president’s agenda.

Among those who supported Trump in the 2016 presidential election, 68% think the president’s policies benefit the middle class. Among white residents without a college education, a plurality, 46%, believe that the president’s policies are more directed toward helping the wealthy.

President Trump’s job approval rating remains in the thirties. Among Americans, 39% approve of the job the president is doing in office; 53% disapprove and 7% are unsure.

The proportion of Americans who strongly disapprove of the president’s job performance (40%) is nearly double that of those who strongly approve (21%).

Looking to next year’s midterm elections, Democrats have widened their advantage. When asked whether they would vote for the Democrat or Republican in their district, 51% of registered voters said they support the Democratic candidate while 36% say they favor the Republican in their district. Six percent do not back either the Democrat or the Republican, and 8% are unsure. Of note, this survey was conducted during the week of the 2017 November elections.

When this question was last reported in August, 47% said they backed the Democratic candidate in their district, and 40% reported they supported the Republican.

Americans remain pessimistic about the direction of the nation, with 29% of adults nationwide opining that the country is moving in the right direction, and 66% saying it is moving in the wrong one.

Research contact: Daniela Charter (@DanielaCharter)