Posts tagged with "Economist/YouGov"

With a favorability rating lower than Trump’s, could Jared be ‘disposable’?

May 7, 2018

Daddy’s little girl may not have to face the big problems associated with the ongoing Russia investigation by Special Counsel Robert Mueller. In fact, Ivanka Trump, who has held an unpaid position in the White House since President Donald Trump took office in January 2017, is now being protected—possibly at the peril of her own husband, Jared Kushner—by her father and his new legal counsel, Rudy Giuliani.

On Fox News on May 2, Giuliani sent “a warning” to Mueller that he should not go after Ivanka, because if he does, “the whole country will turn on him.”

On the other hand,  Jared Kushner—Ivanka’s husband, as well as a senior White House aide—was characterized by the president’s lawyer as “disposable.”

“Jared is a fine man, you know that,” Giuliani said. “Men are disposable. But a fine woman like Ivanka? Come on.”

Would the American people agree? Based on an Economist/YouGov poll that was picked up by Newsweek and posted on last week, in January 2017 when Ivanka Trump entered the White House, 42% of Americans had a favorable opinion of her, and 33% had an unfavorable one. While the percentage of those who view her in a favorable light has remained unchanged since that time, the number of those with an unfavorable impression of the president’s eldest daughter has increased to 43%.

A similar scenario has played out with Jared. Considerably less well-known than his wife in 2017, Kushner  then had a favorability rating of 25%, compared with 29% who looked at him in a negative light. Since then, not only has the percentage of those viewing him favorably seen a modest drop (at 22%), but his unfavorability percentage now stands at 42%.

According to respondents, only 22% believe that Kushner can continue carrying out his high-level duties without the top security clearance that gave him access to classified information and was withdrawn in February; while 40 percent think he can’t.

Meanwhile, President Trump is walking back some of Giuliani’s other statements to the Fox Channel this week. There’s no word yet whether he POTUS intends to correct the comments made about his family members.

Research contact: @JessicaGKwong

Giving up the Cos

May 7, 2018

Times change—and so do hearts and minds. Bill Cosby, once beloved as “America’s Dad” on The Cosby Show (1984-1992) was found guilty of three felony counts of aggravated indecent assault on April 26 in a Montgomery County, Pennsylvania, courtroom.

While a Gallup/CNN/USA Today poll conducted in January 1997 found that 90% of Americans held a favorable opinion of the comedian , TV star, and Jello spokesperson; a poll released on May 4 by Economist/YouGov found that 57% of U.S. adults believe that 80-year-old Cosby is guilty of drugging and molesting Andrea Constand in his Philadelphia home 14 years ago.

More than 50 women nationwide have accused Cosby of abuse, but Constand was the only alleged victim to get her day in criminal court.

African-Americans agree with the verdict, although by a smaller margin (38%) than the broader population. That represents a sea change from just after a mistrial was called in Cosby’s first trial last year. At that time, most African-Americans did not want to see a second trial and considered the entertainer to be innocent by a narrow margin.

According to YouGov, Americans, both black and white, prioritize the rights of victims over the rights of the accused. Six in ten believe it is more important to protect the rights of the victim, while 15% say protecting the rights of the accused matters more. At the same time (and by a similar margin), more say it is worse to convict an innocent person than to let someone guilty go free.

For many people, the crimes that Cosby was convicted of hit close to home: Fully 40% say they or a  close friend or family member has been a victim of sexual assault. That knowledge crosses party lines, but the percentage is particularly high among women, nearly half of whom say they, a close friend, or a family member has been victimized in this way.

Cosby has not been sentenced yet. He and his legal team say that they will appeal the verdict.. more.

Public doesn’t fully support protectionist tariffs

February 6, 2018

Many Americans are not convinced that tariffs on imported goods protect American jobs, based on findings of an Economist/YouGov poll released on February 2. Overall, 31% think they do protect jobs; 26% think they don’t; and 42 percent don’t know for sure.

However, the pollsters say, findings are split along political lines: While 55% of Republicans are “bullish” on tariffs; only 28% of Independents agree—as well as a mere 18% of Democrats.

Specifically, Republicans are more likely than others to favor imposing tariffs in order to protect US businesses and workers from unfair foreign trade and labor practices, while Democrats are more likely than others to support tariffs to protect the environment and to stop human rights abuses of foreign workers. Republicans also are more likely to accept tariffs as punishments against countries that impose tariffs on US goods.
So when it comes to a possible tariff related trade-off between protecting jobs and keeping prices low, Americans come down—narrowly—on the side of jobs; with 37% favoring such a policy, and 32% opposing it. Just under  one-third aren’t sure. Republicans favor tariffs—even if it means higher prices by—nearly three to one.

The President’s position is clear: In his State of the Union address on January 30, Trump referred to “decades of unfair trade deals” and declared “the era of economic surrender is over.”

Republicans favor the two tariffs President Trump has just imposed on washing machines and on solar panels, although skepticism is high among the public in general. Just 24% nationally think the tariff on foreign-made solar panels will increase American jobs, and 26% think the tariff on foreign-made washing machines will increase jobs. More think American jobs installing solar panels will decrease than increase. Americans as a group expect prices for washing machines will rise—and more think all washing machine prices will go up than think it will only be prices on foreign-made products.

In declaring his “America first” policy, the President has spoken and tweeted about respect for the United States in the world, noting that he believes the country is becoming more respected. Americans are not yet sure that has happened, or that it will happen by the end of the President’s first term in office. A majority say that the country is less respected now than it has been in the past, including just under a third of Republicans.

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Americans are almost evenly split on moving embassy to Jerusalem

December 28, 2017

It’s the promised land—but promised to whom? While 66% of the 1,500 U.S. adults who responded to a mid-December Economist/YouGov Poll describe Israel as a friend or ally; they are less sure about its leader, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. In addition, there is no national consensus on U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to break with precedent, formally recognize Jerusalem as the Israeli state’s capital and begin the process of moving the U.S. Embassy there, the researchers found.

On the one hand, Republicans favor moving the embassy, which would set the United States apart from its allies who have maintained they would keep their embassies in Tel Aviv, where the U.S. embassy currently is based. On the other hand, Democrats don’t. The country is split among those who strongly approve of the move (24%)—and those who strongly disapprove (26%).

What’s more, moving the embassy to Jerusalem appeals to those who are extremely religious, especially to those within the Republican Party. Nearly 90% of Republicans who describe religion as very important in their lives approve of moving the embassy.  Among Democrats and independents, religion makes relatively little difference in opinion on this question.

Just 35% approve of the way President Trump is handling Israel—with 17% strongly approving and 18% somewhat approving.

However, the majority believe that it is very important (38%) or somewhat important (25%) to protect Israel. In the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, sympathies are divided, with 33% for the Israelis, 29% saying their allegiances are “about equal,” 8% for the Palestinians, and 30% not sure.

Finally, many Americans aren’t sure what to think of Israel’s Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu—however, those who have an opinion generally are positive—with 33% favorable and 24% unfavorable.

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Sexual misconduct reports may be ‘tip of the iceberg’

November 20, 2017

Sexual harassment has impacted 50% of all adult women, according to the latest Economist/YouGov national opinion poll— released on November 17, even as more allegations surfaced in Washington, DC.

But slightly more than half of that number—as many as 26% of women who have been harassed or attacked— have not reported it. This suggests that the recent outpouring of allegations of sexual misconduct “may only be the tip of a far larger iceberg,” the researchers said.

What’s more, the poll finds, every generation of women passes through a time of harassment: Well over half of women under the age of 45 who report harassment say it happened in the last five years. For women 45 and older, the experience took place longer ago.

Two-thirds of women who report harassment say they have been harassed in the workplace. That’s especially true for those over the age of 30, who have been in the workplace a significant amount of time.. Three in four women with college degrees say they have been sexually harassed at work.

College graduates are more likely than those without college degrees to report discrimination. Still, only 33% of college educated women say they have reported discrimination or unfair treatment.

Men and women are concerned both about sexual assaults going unreported or unpunished and about false allegations of sexual assault. Indeed, a total of 34% of women are upset that sexual mistreatment goes unreported or unpunished; while only 25% of men report feeling the same way.

Meanwhile a full 25% of men fear false accusations of sexual assault; just 11% of women see that as a concern.

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