Posts tagged with "2020"

Poll: Biden still leads in Iowa, but Warren and Buttigieg are coming on strong

June 11, 2019

Biden is sliding—but just slightly—in the Iowa polls. Results of a new Des Moines Register/CNN poll suggest that age and political seasoning count for a lot, but that voters are fickle and can easily be enticed by fresh faces and policies.

The poll—conducted by Des Moines-based pollster Ann Selzer—found that Biden support is at 24%; Senator Bernie Sanders, at 16 %, Senator Elizabeth Warren, at 15%, Mayor Pete Buttigieg, at 14%; and Senator. Kamala Harris, at 7%. No other candidate has more than 2% of support.

While Biden still tops the field, his campaign may have reason to be concerned, Vox reported on June 9Back in December, the same poll found his support to be at 32%; but, by March, it had slipped to 27%; and now, he is at 24%— still in first place, but no longer in a clearly dominant position.

And age is a double-edged sword. Some see 76-year-old Biden and 77-year-old Sanders as the Democratic party’s elder statesmen (1%); others (46%) say their age would be a disadvantage; and still others (50%) say it would make no difference, according to the poll results.

It is important to keep in mind that in caucus states, voters’ second (or even third) choices can factor into the final result, Vox points out. If a candidate does not meet the minimum threshold of 15% support in a local precinct, each individual supporter has the opportunity to switch his or her support over to another candidate.

With a field as large as the current one, it is very possible that some caucus participants may well find themselves having to select another candidate to support. Because of this, the Iowa poll gave respondents the option to give three levels of possible support to each candidate: First choice, second choice, or “actively considering.”

When all three tiers of support (by those planning to vote in person) were added together by the pollster, Biden again topped the list of candidates, with 61%, Vox said. However, Warren matched him exactly, with 6% possible support. Three other candidates manage to reach potential support of over 50%: Sanders (at 56%), and Buttigieg and Harris (each of whom had 52%).

Elizabeth Warren, whose proficiency at policy-making has earned her a spotlight, has been gaining gradually among voters: She was at just 8% in December;  and at9%percent in March. But she has now shot up to 15% support overall, in a dead heat with Sanders for the second-place position behind Biden.

“That’s a strong showing for Elizabeth Warren,” Selzer told the Des Moines Register. “It says to me there are people who are paying attention. Again, in a field this big, that’s step one. First, you have to get people to pay attention.”

Pete Buttigieg may be the “phenom” of the race. In March, he was at only 1%; but he is now at 14%, very nearly matching Warren. However, fully 28% of those polled say that his sexual preference would be a disadvantage; while 62% say it makes no difference.

Another factor that may surface during the campaign is the fact that all of the top-runners at the moment are white. Only 25%of those polled see that as an advantage, while 12% say it’s a disadvantage and 56% say it makes no difference.

Research contact: @DMRegister 

About time: Labor Department proposal would make 1.1 million U.S. workers eligible for overtime pay

March 11, 2019

The U.S. Department of Labor has announcedproposed rule that would make 1.1 million American workers eligible to receive overtime pay beginning in 2020.

Under a 2004 currently enforced law, employees with a salary below $455 per week ($23,660 annually) must be paid overtime, if they work more than 40 hours during a given week.

The new proposal—which is subject to a 60-day comment period— would raise the salary cap of workers eligible for overtime from $455 to $679 per week (equivalent to $35,308 per year). 

“Our economy has more job openings than job seekers and more Americans are joining the labor force,” said Labor Secretary Alexander Acosta.  “At my confirmation hearings, I committed to an update of the 2004 overtime threshold, and [the new] proposal would bring common sense, consistency, and higher wages to working Americans.”

“Commenters … overwhelmingly agreed that the 2004 levels need to be updated,” said Keith Sonderling, acting administrator for the Department’s Wage and Hour Division.

The NPRM maintains overtime protections for police officers, fire fighters, paramedics, nurses, and laborers including: non-management production-line employees and non-management employees in maintenance, construction and similar occupations such as carpenters, electricians, mechanics, plumbers, iron workers, craftsmen, operating engineers, longshoremen, and construction workers.

According to an NBC News report, the threshold was last raised in 2004 under President George W. Bush. An Obama-era rule that would have raised it to $47,476 was blocked by a judge mere days before it was due to take effect on December 1, 2016. By that point, many big companies already had made adjustments to worker pay and titles — in some cases raising the pay of employees who were just below the higher threshold to just above it, or reclassifying salaried workers as hourly employees eligible to earn overtime.

In its announcement, the network news outlet said, the department indicated it was seeking a middle ground between a 15-year-old figure that had not kept pace with pay trends and the much higher cap that had been sought by President Barack Obama, which would have impacted 4.2 million workers.

Economists said the working poor would be the primary beneficiaries of the higher threshold, based on the NBC News report. “Expanding overtime eligibility will likely have a positive impact on wage growth for workers with lower wages,” said Daniel Zhao, Glassdoor senior economist.

Research contact: sweeney.megan.p@dol.gov

MLB uniforms and footwear will feature the Nike Swoosh starting in 2020

January 28, 2019

Major League Baseball, Nike and Fanatics have announced a new ten-year global partnership that makes Nike the official uniform and footwear supplier of MLB starting in the 2020 season.

The new cooperation among the three organizations will provide Major League Baseball players with on-field uniforms developed by Nike’s team of designers and will provide fans with the widest assortment of MLB fan gear ever, manufactured and distributed by Fanatics.

Starting in 2020, on-field uniforms will feature the Nike Swoosh, along with base-layer, game-day outerwear and all training apparel for the 30 MLB clubs.

Fanatics has been granted broad consumer product licensing rights to manage the manufacturing and distribution of the Nike MLB Authentic Collection, as well as Nike and Fanatics fan gear, sold through the retail community, including MLBShop.com, MLB clubs and brick & mortar stores.

Enhancing both assortment and speed-to-market of MLB products, Fanatics will use its vertical commerce model to create and distribute a wide range of MLB fan apparel sold at retail, including jerseys, Postseason apparel, and hot market gear that captures the latest events happening on the field.

“Nike’s global brand and reputation as a leader in marketing and driving innovation makes them an ideal partner,” said Baseball Commissioner Robert D. Manfred, Jr. “In addition, Fanatics is a valuable partner [that] has proven to serve our fans with speed, agility and quality service. We’re very excited about the possibilities this unique arrangement provides us over the next decade.”

In addition, Nike will continue as an official MLB sponsor, supporting league initiatives, grassroots marketing and fan events. Nike, as part of the new agreement, will partner with all 30 MLB Clubs and promote its brand and products across MLB media assets including MLB Network, MLB.com, and MLB Social.

Nike currently has endorsement relationships with over 500 MLB and Minor League players including Mike Trout, Giancarlo Stanton, George Springer, José Ramirez, Max Scherzer, Jacob deGrom, Javier Báez and Nolan Arenado to name a few.

“We’re thrilled to bring more innovation and creativity to Major League Baseball and the incredible athletes who play the game,” said Tom Peddie, VP/GM of Nike North America. “This is an exciting time for baseball, and we look forward to partnering with MLB to grow the sport both across America as well as around the globe”

“Given the continued rise in real-time demand by both fans and retailers, this three-way partnership will ensure MLB fans always have access to the products they crave regardless how, where or when they want to shop,” said Fanatics Founder and Executive Chairman Michael Rubin. “This progressive approach around joining forces between an elite performance brand and the innovative vertical capabilities of Fanatics continues to be the future model for licensed sports merchandise.”

Research contact: @MLB

Richard Branson says new cruise line will treat guests like ‘rock stars’

January 22, 2019

You don’t necessarily want to “rock and roll” on a cruise ship. (Think roiling waves and sea sickness.) But Sir Richard Branson—heretofore best-known for Virgin Records, Virgin Atlantic airlines, Virgin Hotels, and Virgin Galactic space tours—has come up with an experience he thinks consumers, literally, will go for.

Virgin Voyages, the latest Branson brand, will begin operations in 2020, with the first of its four ships on order from master builder Fincantieri—the Scarlet Lady. The cruise will set off from Miami to a Caribbean destination, hosting more than 2,770 guests (whom the company calls “Sailors”) and 1,160 crew members.

The Scarlet Lady will be “adult-by-design,” Branson says—”a sanctuary at sea for the 18+ traveler.” The new company is throwing out traditional clichés on luxury and formalities, and instead bringing what it calls Rebellious Luxe to life at sea; with RockStar Suites created by Tom Dixon’s Design Research Studio “as the pinnacle of that experience.”

The top two suites aboard the ship—dubbed the Massive Suites—will boast their very own guitar-clad music rooms, views of the ocean from every corner, hot tubs, hammocks—and runway outdoor dining tables.

“Virgin has always avoided stuffy formalities and brought a lot of excitement and a bit of rebelliousness to our customer experiences,” says Branson. “With these glamorous suites, Virgin Voyages is bringing rock and roll to the high seas and spoiling our Sailors like the rockstars [sic] they are.”

“We have combined brilliant design and Virgin Voyages’ epic Sailor experience vision to create a completely new version of luxury—Rebellious Luxe, which is at the intersection of luxury and a rebellious attitude that makes everything we do different, indulgent and meaningfully relevant to our Sailors. Whether they want to sleep all day, praise the sun with yoga at dusk or party all night, our RockStar Suite Sailors can live out their fantasies aboard the Scarlet Lady,” says Tom McAlpin, CEO of Virgin Voyages.

RockStar Suites Sailors “will live their best lives,” attended to by the RockStar Services Crew, from time of booking, to sail away, and throughout their voyage, Virgin Voyages claims. There will be backstage access for RockStar Suites Sailors at every corner, with early access to onboard entertainment, restaurants, Shore Things (a private transfer to and from the ship in Miami), and an exclusive express VIP pathway to the ship during embarkation.

What’s more, RockStar Suites Sailors will have their very own wardrobe team to help unpack and repack; complimentary pressing service; and nightly express swimsuit drying service—“because no rockstar should ever have a wet bottom.”

All RockStar Suites Sailors will have access to Richard’s Rooftop, their very own private members club—a secluded place for them to bask under the sun or have a drink under the stars.

From now through January 31, Virgin Voyages fans can enter for the change to win the opportunity to Party Like a rockstar, Virgin Voyages’ style, at their next #ShipTease event in New York City on Valentine’s Day. Those interested in the sweepstakes should visit www.virginvoyages.com to enter.

Research contact: @VirginVoyages

John Kasich, Mark Cuban lead among independent candidates for 2020 presidential election

November 8, 2017

If the 2020 general election for president were held today, for which independent candidate would you vote?  When 1,514 likely U.S. voters were asked that question  in October by Zogby Analytics, Governor John Kasich of Ohio took the lead (13%) and Mark Cuban, owner of the Dallas Mavericks, came in second at 6%.

 However, most respondents (39%)  to the poll, released November 33, stated “none of the above  and  second-highest number (34%) responded “not sure.”

Other candidates that drew some support in the poll included Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson (6%), Green Party candidate Jill Stein (5%), former Starbucks CEO Howard Schultz (4%) and Disney CEO Bog Iger (2%).

The survey may have been slightly skewed because it was conducted before Mark Cuban announced that, if he were to run in 2020, he would probably do so as a Republican. In the Zogby poll,  Cuban  received the strongest support from voters aged 18-29 (19%), Liberals (18%), voters with household income between $50-75k (18%), and Democrats (16%).

The researchers commented, “ Mark Cuban doesn’t appear to be necessarily in sync with Republican voters, as only 8% would choose him, even when only considering independent candidates; overall he appears to be more of a choice of young Democrats than typical Republican voters.”

John Kasich— who became well-known to voters in the 2016 Republican primaries—displayed  a different pattern of strength in this poll. He scored his best results among self-identified investors (20%), Republicans (17%), voters over age 65 (19%), voters with household incomes in the $75k-100k range (17%) and those who only own landline phones (18%).

Research contact: jonathan@zogbyanalytics.com