Posts tagged with "2020 presidential election"

Poll: Obama’s endorsement would substantially sway 2020 Democratic voters

November 4, 2019

Does the endorsement of a candidate by a former U.S. president matter to Americans who are likely to vote in the 2020 election? Not unless the backing comes from Barack Obama, based on the results of a national poll conducted last week by USA TODAY/Suffolk Poll.

Obama, who left the White House nearly three years ago after completing two terms in office, polled as the top former president whose opinion mattered—with an overwhelming 67%.

The only other past presidential nominee who polled in double-digits was former President Jimmy Carter, the oldest living POTUS at age 95. In fact, 11% of respondents cited Carter—who is still actively building houses and doing other good works—as someone they admired who is still influential.

Former President Bill Clinton and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton were next in line, at 6% each. Al Gore, the 2000 nominee, was named by 3%; and Michael Dukakis (1988), John Kerry (2004), and Walter Mondale (1984), by 1% each.

Obama has yet to endorse anyone in the Democratic primary field, which includes his former vice president, Joe Biden.

However, Kate Pritchard, 63, a retired teacher from Durango, Colorado, told USA Today that should plans on supporting New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker at the moment, but she’s not sure he can go the distance.

If Obama were to endorse a candidate, she said, she would back that person.

“That would be very powerful,” she said in a follow-up interview after being called in the survey.

Research contact: @USATODAY

‘Fortune’ may be favoring just a few Democratic candidates

July 17, 2019

Eleven Democratic presidential candidates—nearly half of the whopping field of two dozen or more who have announced that they are running—spent more campaign cash than they raised during the second quarter of the year, according to new financial disclosures filed July 15  and posted by Politico.

Indeed fortune is smiling on just a favored few—among them, Pete Buttigieg ($24.8 million raised in Q2), Joe Biden ($21.5 million), Elizabeth Warren ($19.1 million), Bernie Sanders ($18.2 million), and Kamala Harris ($12 milion).

In the second tier are, Corey Booker ($4.5 million), Amy Klobuchar ($3.9 million), and Beto O’Rourke (3.6 million).

Eight contenders active in the spring limped forward with less than $1 million in cash on hand, and several top-tier contenders were already spending multiples of what their lower-profile competitors raised, the news outlet reported.

Already, California Representative Eric Swalwell has pulled out—acknowledging the problematic math facing a lower-tier contender. Swalwell’s campaign raised just more than $880,000 in the second quarter from donors and, like many of the others at the bottom of the pack, well outspent what it raised.

“We had the money in our account to continue to try to qualify for the upcoming debate,” Swalwell told Politico. “But we believed that even if we had done that, that when we looked at the September debate, it just wouldn’t add up.”

The financial squeeze is set to drastically shrink the lineup of Democratic contenders in the coming months, barring major shifts in momentum, as candidates grapple with the doldrums of summer fundraising and the high costs of staffing national campaigns and building donor lists big enough to qualify for future Democratic National Committee debates, Politico says.

The numbers also reveal the tremendous pressure on lesser-known candidates to make a splash in the debates at the end of this month — potentially the last chance some will have to attract a burst of support as their expenses pile up.

“This is the doomsday scenario for a lot of campaigns, where they’re grasping for air to keep their campaigns alive and to live another day,” said Andrew Feldman, a Democratic strategist in Washington. “You can’t build an organization. You can’t build an operation that turns enthusiasm into votes without having resources to do it.”

Former Colorado Governor John Hickenlooper spent a half-million dollars more than he raised in the second quarter, finishing June with $840,000 in his campaign account, Politico said.

Former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julián Castro spent more than 80% of the amount he raised, despite a fundraising bounce following his highly regarded debate performance in the closing days of the fundraising period. He was left with about $1.1 million, the politico news outlet noted.

Jay Inslee, the governor of Washington, raised about $3.1 million in the second fundraising quarter; however, he reported spending $3.2 million and finished with only $1.2 million in the bank.

Some of these candidates need a miracle,” Matthew Littman, a Democratic strategist and former Joe Biden speechwriter who now supports Kamala Harris, told Politico. “It’s like if you’re a baseball team and you’re 15 games behind in mid-July, the odds are that you’re not making it to the playoffs.”

He said, “If you don’t have the money, you’re not going to have the infrastructure. And if you don’t have the money or the infrastructure, what are you going to do to break through? At this point, it’s just very, very tough.”

Could there be a miracle? It’s doubtful. “You’re not going to see a lot of people continuing to give to a person with no money left,” Feldman said.

Research contact@politico

Connecticut commits Electoral College votes to winner of 2020 popular election

May 8, 2018

Connecticut’s legislature has passed a bill that would give the state’s seven Electoral College votes to the presidential candidate who wins the popular vote nationally in 2020.

The state Senate voted 21-14 on May 5 to join the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, which already included 10 states and the District of Columbia. The state House passed the measure (HB5421) last week, 77 to 73.

Until Connecticut joined, the  National Popular Vote possessed 165 electoral votes—61% of the 270 electoral votes necessary to activate it, including:

  • Four small jurisdictions (Rhode Island, Vermont, Hawaii and the District of Columbia);
  • Three medium-size states (Maryland, Massachusetts and Washington); and
  • Four big states (California, Illinois, New Jersey and New York).

In Connecticut, the bill next moves to the Governor’s desk—and Governor Dannel P. Malloy (D) already has said that he means to sign it.

“With the exception of the presidency, every elected office in the country, from city council, to United States senator, to governor, is awarded the candidate who receives the most votes,” Governor Malloy said, adding, “The vote of every American citizen should count equally, yet under the current system, voters from sparsely populated states are awarded significantly more power than those from states like Connecticut. This is fundamentally unfair. The National Popular Vote compact will ensure an equal vote for every American citizen, regardless of which state they happen to live in. I applaud the General Assembly for passing this commonsense legislation.”

“Voting is a foundation of democracy, a fundamental responsibility, and one of the highest forms of civic engagement,” Lt. Governor Nancy Wyman said. “From young people going to the polls for the first time to residents who never miss a chance to cast a ballot, citizens must trust that they have a voice in choosing their president. This legislation is a step in that direction and I commend the legislature for sending it to the Governor’s desk.”

Research contact: @GovMalloyOffice