April 23, 2018
Fighting to impeach President Donald Trump would backfire on Democrats hoping to take back the House of Representatives in the November midterm elections, based on findings of an NPR/PBS News Hour/Marist Poll released on April 18.
In interviews with 1,011 U.S. adults earlier this month, the researchers discovered that 47% of registered voters would definitely vote against a candidate who wanted to remove Trump from office, while 42% would definitely vote for a candidate who would make such a promise.
Indeed, impeachment is a nonstarter for 84% of GOP voters. As Lee Miringoff, the director of the Marist Institute for Public Opinion, states, “The threat of impeachment provides Republicans [with] their best point of attack looking toward the midterm elections, and I think we’re going to hear a lot more about it from their arsenal as they try to isolate the Robert Mueller investigation and de-legitimize it. If there’s a silver lining for Republicans in this data, it’s the impeachment question.”
It’s Democrats from more liberal districts who have been making noise about impeaching Trump, while members in more competitive swing districts—which Democrats will need to win to reach the 23 seats required to take back the House—have generally opposed such an idea.
Research contact: @JessicaTaylor