February 20, 2018
A strong 64% majority of Americans—including 62% of Republican voters in GOP-held House districts—say they will be less likely to vote for their own members of Congress if the Mueller investigation produces evidence of criminal activity, and their House member had been involved in efforts to attack or stall the investigation.
Those are the results of a survey of 1,000 registered U.S. voters commissioned by Stand Up America, and conducted on behalf of the grassroots political organization by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research (GQRR).
The survey, released on February 15, suggests that voters also would turn strongly against the President if the investigation produces evidence of illegal actions by Trump or his team, with little variability depending on the details of the crimes.
Whether the illegality involved unlawful coordination with Russia, obstruction of justice, or financial crimes by Trump’s companies—and whether it directly involved Trump, or only his top aides—solid majorities, ranging from 58% to 65%, say they would support Trump’s impeachment. In each case, support for Trump’s impeachment includes solid majorities of Independents, and about one-third of all Republicans:
Such evidence of a likely public swing against Trump and the Republican Congress, if clear wrong-doing emerges, helps explain the intense, coordinated attacks they have launched on Mueller and his investigation. These attacks may be having some impact; although a 57%-43% majority say they have high confidence in Mueller’s investigation, that margin is relatively narrow.
The public is already highly concerned about Russia’s meddling in the 2016 election. Already, 65% believe it is true that Russia was trying to interfere in the 2016 election, and 67% say this is a very or somewhat serious concern to them personally, including 36% who say it is a “very serious concern.” As respondents hear about three ways of describing facts already established, the share who say they are “very concerned” rises further, to over 40% in each case:
It is notable that nearly two-thirds reject the Trump claim that there was “no collusion,” and instead express real concern that the facts already established suggest just the opposite.
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